A couple weeks ago I pointed out that Red Alliance was in a failure cascade. Considering how much the situation has changed since then, I figured it was only fair to revisit the issue with a new post.
Let's look at DOTLan maps once more for Red Alliance:
The precipitous drop from their internal strife appears to be levelling out, they've retaken 688T-Z system and station in Etherium Reach and, with IRC and Ethereal Dawn being forced out of Etherium Reach by allies of RA, they have hope of taking more space and assets in that region. In other words, I predict that RA is at the end of their cascade and is in the process of turning things around.
Now, let's look at IRC:
A drop in membership, corporations, outposts, and sovreignty. And much more to come. I have to face facts, its the beginning of a failure cascade and the only question of how far will it go and will the alliance bounce back. M3 is betting that it will and I'm very willing to go along with that bet for now. After all, the other option is to go back to cooling our heels in Empire again and that is not any fun.
My only regret about the time in IRC so far has been all the effort I spent doing logistics to get our corp settled and established in Etherium Reach over the month of June. I didn't have any time to rat or make ISK, and probably lost money due to the fuel bills that were mostly covered by corp payments. I hope the next 0.0 space we inhabit gives me more time for enjoying the fruits of 0.0 space.
(I expect a Goon to drop by and comment to the effect that "IRC will never hold space again... BWHAHAHAHAHAHHA!")
I admit some curiousity on how the stations in Etherium Reach will be divied up by the conquerers. With xXDeathXx claim all the IRC ones, or will some Northern Coalition alliances move in? Time will tell.